A 3-2 week on best bets puts us at 7-3 for the season entering a more complicated Week 3. I don’t love the board much this week, so I waited a little later on this article so that I could get a look at some player props. Here are some bets that jump out in Week 3 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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New England Patriots -6 (-110)
Cam Newton To Score a TD (-106)
N’Keal Harry Receptions: OVER 4.5 (-112)
I think this sets up pretty nicely as both a bounce-back spot for the Patriots and a letdown spot for the Raiders. New England is coming off a loss on the final play of the game in Seattle, but Newton and this offense showed a lot in defeat. The Pats covered relatively easily in the home opener against Miami and could have blown the Dolphins out if Harry didn’t have a touchback. The Raiders travel east for an early game on a short week coming off of MNF. I think the win over the Saints told us more about how poorly New Orleans played than Las Vegas playing well. I think the Pats make some adjustments and limit Darren Waller to get a relatively easy win.
As for the props, it’s hard not to like Cam to find the end zone right now. He has four rushing touchdowns through the first two games and is essentially the goal line running back for New England. He should have plenty of red zone opportunities to get into the end zone against a cushy Raiders defense.
In the passing game, Cam’s shown a ton of trust in Harry. He’s hyped up the young WR to the media but his play is backing up his talk, targeting Harry 18 times so far. Harry had five receptions in Week 1 and followed that up with eight catches in Seattle. This is a pretty modest number for the role we’ve seen the 2019 first-rounder play in this offense.
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Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 (-110)
I’ve never been much of a Justin Herbert guy but the kid looked pretty great in his debut on short notice against the defending Super Bowl champs. Herbert just has to stay solid in this game, as the Chargers should absolutely pound the Panthers in the ground game. Carolina has arguably the worst rush defense in the NFL and Austin Ekeler and Josh Kelley have been a great one-two punch to begin the season. The Panthers have struggled in nearly every aspect so far this season and moving the ball without Christian McCaffrey is going to be much more difficult against a defense that was able to limit Patrick Mahomes last week.
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Nick Mullens Passing Yards: UNDER 252.5
For starters, I like this under because Mullens just isn’t very good. But the spot against the Giants hasn’t been as favorable for opposing QBs as you’d imagine. Ben Roethlisberger only threw for 229 yards against them in Week 1 and Mitchell Trubisky threw for just 190 last week. I don’t see San Francisco airing it out much with Mullens, especially still without the starting WRs and with George Kittle out. The counterargument is that without Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman the running game could struggle, but Jerick McKinnon and Jeff Wilson should still be the key pieces on offense. Mullens was 8-of-11 for just 71 yards in the second half against the Jets last week.
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